Category Archives: Bishara Assad

ARAB-IRAN RIVALRY BINYAMIN NETANYAHU BISHARA ASSAD C4I IRAN COUNTERTERRORISM EGYPT GREAT POWER RELATIONS HASAN ROUHANI HILLARY CLINTON HOT GLOBAL ISSUES FROM OTHER SOURCES INTELLIGENCE IRAN IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER IRAQ ISIS/ISIL/IS ISLAM ISLAMIC REVOLUTION OF IRAN ISRAEL JIHADISTS KING ABDULLAH OF SAUDI ARABIA LEVANT MIDDLE EAST MOHAMMAD JAVAD ZARIF PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA UNCATEGORIZED UNITED STATES US GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

Burying the Hatchet is the Precondition for US-Iran Rapprochement

by Ehsan Ahrari on August 13, 2015, No Comments

A lot of ink is being spilled analyzing the pros and cons of the recently concluded US-Iran nuclear deal between Iran and the 5+ 1 countries (4 permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany), and there is ample show of emotions about this deal involving different actors. The Arab states are upset because they concluded that its successful implementation would lead to an era of US-Iran rapprochement in which Iran, more than the Arab states, would be the focus of America’s attention. The Israelis are mad because they see the emergence of a nuclear Iran in the distant future as a result of it. More to the point, Israel’s Prime Minister , Benyamin Netanyahu, envisions that deal as the first historical step toward bringing about an end to Israel’s own preeminence, related to its nuclear deterrence in the region. A study prepared for the RAND Corporation addresses precisely that point when it notes, “Nuclear weapons would probably reinforce Iran's traditional national secu
AFGHANISTAN BISHARA ASSAD HOT GLOBAL ISSUES FROM OTHER SOURCES INTELLIGENCE IRAN IRAQ ISIS/ISIL/IS ISLAM PAKISTAN US GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

Anti-ISIS War Underscores the End of Western Dominance

by Ehsan Ahrari on October 9, 2014, No Comments

The emergence of ISIS/ISIL/IS is just one more example–albeit a significant one–of the passage of an era of Western dominance of the Arab/Muslim world.  President Barack Obama's anti-ISIS strategy (which is anything but a strategy) and his war on that entity in Syria and Iraq should be examined in that context.  The most prominent members of Obama's coalition to bomb ISIS are Arab monarchies of West Asia, whose very survival remains under constant threat not only from the Islamists, but also from the anti-authoritarian forces that played a crucial role in initiating the Arab Awakening in December 2010.  As much as the Arab Awakening has become a somewhat dormant force, its turbulence is still being felt on a daily basis in Yemen and Jordan.  As much as the Saudis succeeded in suppressing the rebellion of largely Shia masses against the Sunni rulers of Bahrain, no one really knows how stable that sheikhdom is likely to remain and for how long.  The Arab states are experiencing
BISHARA ASSAD COUNTERTERRORISM IRAN IRAQ ISLAM JIHADISTS KING ABDULLAH OF JORDAN KING ABDULLAH OF SAUDI ARABIA LEBANON LEVANT MIDDLE EAST SHIA CRSCENT STRATEGIC AFFAIRS OF WEST ASIA SYRIA THE ISLAMIC STATE/ISIS/ISIL UNCATEGORIZED UNITED STATES USAMA BIN LADEN

Heading Toward Failure: A Coalition of the “Reluctantly Willing”

by Ehsan Ahrari on September 17, 2014, No Comments

As the Obama administration is busy forming a coalition to fight-eradicate the Islamic State (IS) or (ISIS/ISIL), the evolving coalition that gathered last week in Paris was a far cry from the one put together by George H. W. Bush in 1991 to fight and expel Saddam Hussein's forces from Kuwait.  Today's participants of the coalition of the "reluctantly willing" are probably thinking, but not voicing, that defeating the IS will be a difficult, if not impossible, challenge for a variety of reasons. (more…)
AFGHANISTAN BISHARA ASSAD PAKISTAN SHIA CRSCENT US GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

Neocons: They Are Alive and Itching for War!

by Ehsan Ahrari on June 24, 2014, No Comments

If you thought that the American neoconservatives (aka "chicken hawks") of the George W. Bush administration–persons who brought us the Iraqi invasion based on a mission to destroy the imaginary arsenal of weapons of mass destruction that Saddam Hussain was hiding–you would be wrong. They are very much alive and are coming back through cyberspace and the airways trashing President Barack Obama's handling of Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan.  When they are reminded of the atrocious mess originally created in Afghanistan and Iraq by Bush and these very same neocons, they deny this linkage and then quickly proceed with their warmongering rhetoric.  A factor to keep in mind about these neocons is that none has actually fought in a war.  However, their palpable penchant for war–as long as someone else's son or daughter is going to die in it–has rightly earned them the pejorative depiction "chicken hawks." Their proclivities are very much alive; they are itching for another war. (mo
ARAB AWAKENING BISHARA ASSAD COUNTERTERRORISM IRAQ JIHADISTS LEVANT MIDDLE EAST SYRIA UNITED STATES

Bin Laden’s Avatar: Get Real ODNI!

by Ehsan Ahrari on January 11, 2014, 1 Comment

The US government's intelligence services are either getting too imaginative or simply too paranoid about the "revival" of Usama Bin Laden, who, they know, is dead.  Now they are imagining him coming back to life as a "virtual" Bin Laden or as a new "avatar" of Jihadism.  In this ostensible flight of imagination, the American intelligence "experts on Islam appear eager to show their sheer ignorance and stupidity about the religion itself.  Consider the following statement from the study that was commission by no less than the Office of Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the highest intelligence agency of the United States.  It states:   Imagine that jihadist supporters create a detailed avatar of Usama bin Laden and use his many voice recordings to animate the avatar for up-close virtual reality experiences that could be used to preach, convert, recruit, and propagate dogma to the media. The Bin Laden avatar could preach and issue new fatwas for hundreds of years
AFGHANISTAN ARAB AWAKENING ARAB-IRAN RIVALRY BISHARA ASSAD CHINA EGYPT EGYPTIAN ARMY GREAT POWER RELATIONS HASAN ROUHANI INDIA INTERNET REVOLUTION IRAN IRAQ ISLAM ISLAMIC REVOLUTION OF IRAN JIHADISTS MIDDLE EAST PAKISTAN RUSSIA STRATEGIC AFFAIRS OF SOUTH ASIA STRATEGIC AFFAIRS OF WEST ASIA UNITED STATES US GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

So Long, 2013; Welcome 2014…I Think!

by Ehsan Ahrari on January 2, 2014, No Comments

Happy new year to all my global friends and contacts! 2013 has been an okay year for the United States, in terms of its foreign policy in the Middle East and in the Asia-Pacific.  (more…)
ARAB-IRAN RIVALRY BISHARA ASSAD HASAN ROUHANI IRAN IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER ISLAMIC REVOLUTION OF IRAN ISRAEL KING ABDULLAH OF SAUDI ARABIA MIDDLE EAST PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA SHIA CRSCENT UNITED STATES

The US-Iran Interim Nuclear Agreement: Auspicious But Potentially Fragile

by Ehsan Ahrari on November 24, 2013, No Comments

The US-Iran nuclear deal of November 23, 2013, putting a temporary freeze on Iran's nuclear program, is likely to turn out to be the beginning of an historic development.  The most celebrated aspect of this agreement is that the top diplomats on both sides are now engaging in a highly intricate dialogue, instead talking at each other through the media. (more…)
AFGHANISTAN BISHARA ASSAD CHINA COUNTERTERRORISM DRONE ATTACKS ON PAKISTAN GREAT POWER RELATIONS HAQQANI TERROR NETWORK HILLARY CLINTON HU JINTAO INFORMATION REVOLUTION INFORMATION WAR IRAN ISLAM ISLAMIC REVOLUTION OF IRAN ISRAEL JIHADISTS KING ABDULLAH OF JORDAN KING ABDULLAH OF SAUDI ARABIA LEBANON MUAMMAR QADDAFI PAKISTAN PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA SHIA CRSCENT SOUTH ASIA STRATEGIC AFFAIRS OF SOUTH ASIA STRATEGIC AFFAIRS OF WEST ASIA SYRIA TAHRIR SQUARE TIANENMAN SQUARE UNITED STATES US GLOBAL LEADERSHIP US-CHINA NAVAL COMPETITIONCHINA'S AIRCRAFT CARRIER USAMA BIN LADEN

The Synonymity Between Dispensability and Decline

by Ehsan Ahrari on June 22, 2013, No Comments

In his second inaugural address in January 1997, President Bill Clinton stated, "America stands alone as the world's indispensable nation."[1]  Since then, that phrase has been used on a regular basis.  America, as an indispensable nation, underscores its dominance in resolving conflicts of all portions since the end of World War II.    It has been a major enabler of global economic stability and prosperity of Western Europe and Japan, and, most important of all, it contained the former Soviet Union–playing a crucial role in bringing about its eventual implosion.  (more…)
ARAB-IRAN RIVALRY BISHARA ASSAD EGYPT GOLAN HEIGHTS HOSNI MUBARAK IRAN ISRAEL JIHADISTS KING ABDULLAH OF JORDAN LEBANON LEVANT MEGA CHAOS MIDDLE EAST PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA RISING POWER SHIA CRSCENT SYRIA UNCATEGORIZED

Is Obama’s Strategic Dilemma in Syria a Symptom of the Arrival of a Post-Superpower Era?

by Ehsan Ahrari on May 18, 2013, No Comments

The government of Bishara al-Assad, while predicted to have fallen many months ago, is hanging on, and is causing an agonizing dilemma on the part of the United States and Israel.  Both of them want to see the end of Assad's regime; however, neither of them wants to see Assad replaced by a nexus of Islamists and pro-AQ Jihadists in that country.  The sustained hesitation of the United States regarding Syria made John Kampfner of the Guardian wonder whether this is the first conflict of "the post-superpower era."  My sense is that Kampfner is not far off the mark, especially since the PRC is reported to be demonstrating a heightened interest in playing some role in the PLO-Israeli conflict. (more…)